I’m quite sure you all remember last Sunday when we went to our polling stations.I think most of us had surprised amazement all over our faces watching the news broadcasting latest calculations in the evening.We heard a lot of politicians talk about them being the winners although nearly all of them lost votes – compared to 2002 results. As I see it, it was lots of fun watching them (mis)interpreting the results and commentating on them. If you listened closely to some people’s arguments you discovered anything – but logical consequences: one maintained being the biggest parliament party by separating other parties’ shares, others accused each other of being undemocratic by excluding parties from negotiations in an effort to form a coalition that would command a parliamentary majority and simultaneously promising to never talk to another party about governing together.
A part from a coalition of CDU/CSU and SPD are a lot of further ones possible – theoretically: because of the still current government refusing to govern in coalition with the newly founded left party, there are the “traffic lights”-solutions. Both a coalition of red-yellow-green and of black-yellow-green, the so-called Jamaica Coalition, are mathematically doable.
But the far more interesting question for me is who is going to be our next chancellor? In my personal view there are three possibilities: Probably it will be our first female chancellor Angela Merkel, or the chancellor of the medias Gerhard Schröder for one more time – or, which is a quite exciting thought – somebody completely different – if the Federal President dissolves the Parliament to ask the people to vote once again after some unsuccessful elections after October 18th. (According to our Constitution, the newly elected Parliament has 30 days to hold its first meeting, at which presumably it would elect a chancellor.)
Today I read that more than 70% of the Germans are unsatisfied with the results of the election. About 30% are in favour of a coalition of Social Democrats and the Christian Democratic Union.
Today, Angela Merkel talked with the leaders of her party's traditional coalition partner, the Free Democratic Party, even though the election left the two parties combined about a dozen seats short of a majority. That means that she still needs to find support from another party, and it was unclear where that support would come from. One possibility is the Green Party, which is now Mr. Schröder's coalition partner. And Christian Democratic officials said that talks would be held with the Greens too.
I am not that confident if you noticed that Afghanistan voted its first Parliament for more than 30 years. Despite scattered reports of shootings and attempted sabotage that left five people dead during the day and two police officers dead on the eve of the election, the vast bulk of the voting went remarkably smoothly.
About 50% of the 12,4 million registered voters chose a candidate of 5800. This astonishing number probably confused some of the voters – so they stayed at home. About 10% of all candidates were women who were especially encouraged to try to get elected to integrate women in the new established political system and daily life. The results will be announced next month.
The first democratic election in Afghanistan after the war is considered a big step toward a stable democracy...
Perhaps we should think different about our election which was so perfectly natural for us.
A good night to you,